Liberal VS Liberal?

Someone help the Republican Party please. They have two liberals in the delegate race, and one conservative. This is not a good position for them to be in going into Super Tuesday. Republicans can not put a liberal up against the Democrats if they intend to win the general election. Mike Huckabee is not a contender, and would get crushed against anyone on the Democrats side (Even Dennis U.F.O. man). John McCain can compete with the top two Democrats, but he has nothing to offer except a slightly more conservative platform than the Democrats. How can Republicans compete if they are offering the same thing? You can not win the Presidency by putting a liberal against a liberal.

South Carolina will be an interesting contest. I think this is McCain country, but Huckabee isn't going to go down quietly. Mitt Romney can not be counted out as he is the other major name going into the first primary of the south. So who is who with South Carolinians? I have researched voting trends, polls, and newspapers in the state, and this is going to be difficult to decipher. South Carolina is another open primary, like Michigan.

I think South Carolina is going to split heavily by interest. What I mean is this is going to be like New Hampshire and Iowa combined. In Iowa, the evangelicals went toward Huckabee mostly and true conservatives found Romney appealing. New Hampshire has many liberal Republicans and even more independents. This gave McCain an edge here in the Granite state. Even with the minority of Republicans voting as conservatives, Romney pulled a strong second here.

So let's break this up. If people vote party lines and follow voting trends, I estimate about 21% of the voters will be the evangelicals for Mike Huckabee. McCain will pull the Independent vote and the liberal Republicans. He may also get a few Democrats on his side, but he will not get the conservative vote. Conservatives will flock to Mitt Romney, giving him a solid third with 18%. South Carolina might think they are a red state, but from what I have been reading, they are Red-ish-purple. By this, what I mean is they are a slightly liberal type of Republican. John McCain has the edge and the win at 30%.

John McCain 30%

Mike Huckabee 21%

Mitt Romney 18%

Nevada is a strange animal, and might be more decisive for the Republican going into Super Tuesday. I don't think South Carolina is going to make much of an impact this year, I believe Nevada is going to make the greatest splash. I have been looking at Nevada more than South Carolina for this reason, but to be honest, I do not understand the mindset of those residing in Nevada. My hope is that Ron Paul does not get as much traction in Nevada, but then again, Ron Paul is a libertarian, and therefore, he appeals to those who want legalized prostitution and drug use. This may be the first contest where Ron Paul actually matters. Why do I think Nevada is more important? There are 34 delegates at stake in Nevada and only 24 in South Carolina.

Nevada will give us:

Mitt Romney 29%

John McCain 22%

Mike Huckabee 10%

Rudy Giuliani 10%

Ron Paul 10%

My only hope in both contests is that the Republicans remember why they are Republicans, and appeal to their conservative values. The Democrats are scared of Mitt for a reason.